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Pandemic Planning Toolkit A resource to assist your organization in preparing for pandemic influenza
Influenza Overview
red arrow Flu Pandemic Background
Preparing for a Flu Pandemic
Educational Resources
State & Local Government Resources
About TAMIFLU ® (oseltamivir phosphate)
TAMIFLU Supply and Ordering
Important Safety Information
What is the likelihood of a flu pandemic?
The evolution of flu viruses cannot be predicted. This makes it difficult to know if or when a virus might mutate to become easily transmittable among humans. Therefore, it is impossible to say when another pandemic will arise, or whether it will be mild or severe.
 
However, the World Health Organization (WHO) asserts that once a virus allows for efficient human-to-human transmission, a pandemic can occur. Because of high global mobility and interconnection, illness could spread quickly and, if the virus has a high fatality rate, threaten millions of lives around the world.10

A lesson from the past

Pandemics are a reality. Health records show at least 10 influenza pandemics over the past 300 years.11
 
1732-1733
1781-1782
1800-1802
1830-1833
1847-1848
1857-1858
1889-1900
1918-1919
1957-1958
1968-1969
  12

 
A monitoring system has been created showing the levels of severity of a flu pandemic, learn what the levels are.



 
FOOTNOTE
10. The Avian Flu Working Group. The global economic and financial impact of an avian flu pandemic and the role of the IMF. February 28, 2006. Available at: http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/afp/2006/eng/022806.htm. Accessed April 13, 2006.
11. Osterholm MT. Preparing for the next pandemic. N Engl J Med [serial online]. May 2005; 352:1839-1842. Accessed March 31, 2006.
12. Osterholm MT. Understanding pandemic influenza in the modern world. Paper presented at: Business Planning for Pandemic Influenza: A National Summit; February 14, 2006; Minneapolis, Minn.
Guidelines
Bi-Weekly Pandemic News Monitor Reports Bi-Weekly Pandemic News Monitor Reports
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